ICICI Bank's Turnaround: A Lesson in ROA.

How a bank's fortunes changed with better asset quality

2 min readPublished
An Indian vendor proudly organizing fresh, colorful fruits into neat crates on his clean wooden handcart, showing care and organization.
The Power of ROA

How a simple shift in quality can turn around a bank—or any business.

The story

In 2016, ICICI Bank was struggling with bad loans. The bank's management was under scrutiny, and its financials were under stress. But a new management team took the helm and started cleaning up the mess.

ROA, or Return on Assets, measures how well a bank uses its assets to generate profits. It's a crucial metric to evaluate a bank's performance.

In 2016, ICICI Bank's ROA was a dismal 0.4% due to its high bad loan ratio and governance issues. The new management team worked hard to clean up the bad loans and tighten lending rules.

As a result, the bank's retail loans grew safely, replacing risky corporate lending. This shift in strategy helped lower bad loans and free up capital, pushing ROA to 2.4% by 2023.

A high ROA acts like a wide moat, compounding profits faster and making the bank more competitive.

ROA IMPROVEMENT
6x
ROA rose from 0.4% in 2016 to 2.4% in 2023
Analogy

Efficient Banks

Imagine two chai stalls. One makes ₹1 profit on every ₹100 of sales, while the other makes ₹2. The second stall is more efficient and can reinvest its profits better, just like a bank with a higher ROA.

Why this matters

Understanding ROA and its impact on a bank's performance can help you make informed investment decisions. By choosing banks with high ROA, you can potentially earn higher returns on your investments.

Lock it in

Where people go wrong

  1. Confusing ROA with ROEROE includes debt leverage, which can distort the true picture of a bank's profitability.
  2. Assuming a single good quarter means turnaround is completeA bank's turnaround requires sustained effort and patience, not just a single good quarter.
If you only remember three things
  1. High ROA indicates efficient asset utilization

  2. ROA helps compare banks' profitability

  3. Consistent SIP investments can lead to significant wealth creation

Recency bias makes investors ignore slow turnarounds until the results are already obvious and priced in.
Shekar
Shekar
ICICI has been cleaning up its books for years, but everyone only noticed when the stock price doubled!