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Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Limited
Trading above our fair value estimate
Company logo used for identification only; no association, sponsorship, or endorsement is implied. ValueInvestIndia is not a SEBI-registered investment adviser or research analyst. This analysis is educational and is not investment advice.
NSE · GRSE
₹2,525.7
+0.76%
52-WEEK RANGE
₹1,963.7₹3,339
VS FAIR VALUE⚠ Above Fair Value — Caution
₹993 Stronger buffer₹1135–1206 Safety zone₹1,419 Fair Value
Trading above our fair-value estimate. Study the price gap and risks before deciding for yourself.
Vol: 348.5K
8 Sept, 03:37 pm IST
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What this chart shows

This is the market price over time — what investors have been willing to pay each day. It is NOT a "when to buy / when to sell" signal chart, and we are NOT telling you to trade based on where the lines are going next. When evidence supports a fair-value estimate, the report compares today’s price with that estimate. When it does not, the report shows what operating performance today’s price appears to require. The chart pattern is not the conclusion.

Price Chart

GRSE — BSE Daily Chart

BSE DATA

Chart data from BSE via TradingView · For visual reference only

Investment Analysis

FY 2026 ANNUAL REVIEW · BASE THESIS

We publish one deep annual review per fiscal year. Quarterly check-ins appear in the ‘Quarterly Updates’ tab — like a diary. After FY 2027 results, we run a fresh thesis.

Analysis Date8 Aug 2026
Data as of7 Aug 2026
SourceScreener workbook
Above Fair Value

The verdict is PASS. The shipbuilder has delivered complex vessels, grown revenue and is expanding capacity, yet the price of ₹2,599 stands above the estimated value of ₹1,419. Low valuation confidence and weak conversion of accounting profit into operating cash argue for patience rather than excitement.

🤖

Analysis generated by AI for educational purposes. Not SEBI-registered investment advice. Verify every figure independently.

Latest shareholding could not be sourced from BSE/NSE filings at the time of analysis — verify directly before sizing position.

What you need to believe at this price

A reverse DCF works backward from the market price to ask what performance would justify it. Here a true cash-flow version is not reliable because owner cash and maintenance spending are not fully evidenced, so the safer reverse check uses the same earnings comparisons as the valuation. At P/E of 23.7x, the market value requires attributable profit near ₹1,257 Cr, 68% above filed profit of ₹748 Cr. At EV/EBITDA of 15x, enterprise value requires EBITDA near ₹1,762 Cr, 121.6% above filed ₹795 Cr. You must therefore believe growth, durability or the market's chosen multiple will stay stronger than these conservative anchors.

Current Price
₹2,525.7
Live · as of 8 Sept
Safety Zone
₹1,135 – ₹1,206
Safety zone — price is below our fair-value estimate
Stronger Buffer
₹993
Stronger buffer — larger gap versus fair value
Fair Value Per Share
₹1,419
vs Fair Value
+78%
Trading above fair value · Updates at market close
P/E39.8xprice per ₹1 profit
ROE28.5%return on equity
ROCE28.0%return on capital deployed
Div Yield0.8%annual dividend ÷ price
Net Cash₹3,351 Crcash minus total debt
Debt₹37 Crtotal borrowings
Revenue₹7,002 Crannual sales
Mkt Cap₹29,785 Crtotal company value
Sector
Defence & Aerospace
NSE
GRSE
01

Business Model

How this company makes money, and why customers keep paying.

Garden Reach Shipbuilders designs and builds ships. Its customer journey begins when the Indian Navy or a commercial buyer orders a vessel for a defined job, such as a frigate, survey ship, shallow-water anti-submarine craft, research vessel, ferry or support vessel. The company uses shipyard capacity, engineering skill, materials, equipment and labour to turn the design into a working platform. The customer payment becomes revenue as physical delivery milestones and handover formalities are completed; the transcript shows that ships delivered at year-end caused revenue to be recognised after liaison and formal handover. Revenue is the value billed for work, while profit is what remains after costs. Owner cash is the money the business can ultimately retain or distribute after operating needs and upkeep; here, that cash is sensitive to when customers pay and when projects consume cash. This makes deliveries, order quality, capacity use and cash collection more informative than a sector label alone. Investor takeaway: watch whether new orders refill work as current ships finish, and whether reported profit arrives as cash.

02

Latest Developments

Recent developments and earnings that informed this analysis.

During FY26, the company reported revenue of ₹7,002.16 Cr and delivered eight vessels to the Indian Navy, including frigates, survey vessels and anti-submarine warfare shallow-water craft. Five vessels were commissioned, meaning they formally entered service. Three warships were delivered together at year-end, which also explains why final revenue exceeded the earlier conservative figure. Management said a contract for five next-generation corvettes was at an advanced stage, but an advanced discussion is not the same as a signed order. Beyond defence, live commercial tenders included support vessels, tankers, gas carriers and Aframax vessels. Existing capacity of 28 platforms was expected to rise to 32 ships through modernisation, alongside planned brownfield facilities at existing industrial sites and greenfield facilities built on new sites. The practical question is whether signed, profitable orders arrive fast enough to use the extra capacity; tender participation alone does not guarantee revenue.

03

Competitive Moat

What protects this business from competitors.

A moat is a durable advantage that makes it hard for rivals to take customers or profits. GRSE shows evidence of execution capability: it delivered eight naval vessels in the year, including complex frigates, survey ships and anti-submarine craft, and delivered three warships on one day. Such delivery experience, specialised engineering and established customer acceptance may help when competing for future work. However, the evidence does not quantify win rates, switching costs, contract profitability or a superior cost position, so a strong moat cannot be declared. The same government customer that values proven execution also creates bargaining and order-timing concentration. Investor takeaway: treat delivery history as a promising capability, then demand repeated order wins, on-time execution, steady margins and cash collection before calling it a durable moat.

04

Strategic Pivots

New bets management is making with your capital.

GRSE is broadening from its core naval shipbuilding engine in three directions. First, it is pursuing commercial vessels through live tenders for support ships, tankers and gas carriers. Second, it is expanding physical capacity through modernisation and both brownfield and greenfield sites; brownfield means adding to an existing industrial site, while greenfield means creating a new one. Third, it has a new-technology vertical focused on autonomous surface and underwater platforms, with a product already provided to a defence research organisation and longer-term ambition in extra-large underwater vessels. These moves could diversify customers and extend growth, but each adds execution and capital risk. Watch signed orders, capacity use and cash returns rather than announcements alone.

05

Market Opportunity

How large the opportunity is, and how much remains uncaptured.

💡 TAM = Total Addressable Market (everyone who could ever buy). SAM = Serviceable Addressable Market (who the company can actually reach). SOM = Serviceable Obtainable Market (realistic share the company can win). Think of it like this: TAM is all the chai drinkers in India. SAM is chai drinkers in cities with a Starbucks nearby. SOM is how many Starbucks can actually serve.
TAM
Comparable figure not established
Total Addressable Market
TAM means total addressable market: the entire demand the company could pursue if every relevant opportunity were available to it. No complete, source-backed TAM value or unit is available here, so presenting a market number would confuse tender examples with total demand. Use the disclosed naval and commercial opportunities only as examples, not as revenue, profit, market share or fair value.
SAM
Comparable figure not established
Serviceable Addressable Market
SAM means serviceable addressable market: the part of total demand that fits GRSE's products, locations, qualifications and capacity. No complete source-backed SAM value or unit is available. Live tenders and planned ship types show areas the company may serve, but summing selected opportunities would not establish the full reachable market and would not equal revenue or profit.
SOM
Comparable figure not established
Serviceable Obtainable Market
SOM means serviceable obtainable market: the portion GRSE could realistically win after competition, capacity limits and tender outcomes. No source-backed SOM value or unit is available. A defensible estimate would need comparable bid data, expected win rates, delivery capacity and contract timing; without those, the honest conclusion is that obtainable demand is not quantified, not that it is zero.
06

Management & Governance

Who runs this company and how they treat shareholder money.

Management quality is best judged by execution, candour and stewardship of shareholder money. Execution evidence is strong enough to note: multiple naval vessels were delivered, including three on one day. Candour is mixed but encouraging: management explained the year-end revenue jump through delivery formalities and declined to promise that future revenue would avoid a dip. It also described capacity expansion, commercial tenders and autonomous platforms in concrete terms. Still, management commentary is not proof of future orders, and weak operating-cash conversion plus rising receivable days require scrutiny. The fair assessment is capable execution with important cash-discipline questions. Watch whether forecasts become signed work and whether profit converts to cash.

🎯 Capital Allocation

Capital allocation means deciding whether company cash should fund yards and equipment, reduce debt or be returned to shareholders. Across FY22 to FY26, capital expenditure was ₹315.98 Cr against operating cash flow of ₹113.51 Cr; capital expenditure is money spent on long-lived assets, while operating cash flow is cash generated by day-to-day business. The ratio was 2.78x, consistent with an investment phase. Gross debt moved from ₹11.2 Cr to ₹37.39 Cr, while dividends were also paid. Expansion can be sensible if signed work keeps the assets productive, but poor capacity use would turn it into expensive idle space. Watch returns on new capital, order cover, debt and cash conversion together.

⚠️ AI-generated for informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Verify all figures independently. · Financial data sourced from Screener workbook.

⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Not SEBI registered.
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